Forecast weather is likely to cause significant impacts across health and social care services, including:

• a rise in deaths, particularly among those aged 65 and over or with health conditions. We may also see impacts on younger age groups
• a likely increase in demand for health services
• temperatures inside places like hospitals, care homes, and clinics dropping below the levels recommended for assessing health risks
• challenges keeping indoor temperatures at the recommended 18°C leading to more risk to vulnerable people
• staffing issues due to external factors (such as travel delays)
• other sectors starting to observe impacts (such as transport and energy)

Information on update: Area expanded, mainly across southern England, to cater for showers persisting into the evening and overnight period in some areas, leaving wet surfaces in places. Partially thawed snow during Friday will likely freeze overnight as temperatures fall below freezing, leading to a widespread ice risk. In addition, wintry showers will continue to feed into parts of Wales and southwest England at times, perhaps also into the West Midlands. Whilst there is some uncertainty as to the extent of any precipitation, this falling onto frozen surfaces may also add to the risk of ice. Freezing fog patches are also likely in places, posing an additional ice hazard. For further details see https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings Tags: Extreme low temperature https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings

Areas most at risk are those around the River Great Ouse from Brackley to Thornborough, including Padbury Brook. Flooding is possible this evening and overnight 09 and 10 January 2026 as a result of heavy rainfall from Storm Goretti. We are not expecting the situation to escalate, or to issue any further warning messages at this time. We are monitoring rainfall and river levels. Avoid using low lying footpaths and any bridges near local watercourses. Monitor local water levels and weather conditions and don’t put yourself or others at risk. This message will be updated by 10:00 on Saturday 10th January 2026 or as the situation changes. .